Brazilia, Brazil-Brazil's forecasting grain production continues to increase and reaches an increase of 30.6 million tons (10.3%) in the last report of the National Supply Company (Conab) for the marketing year 2024-25.
The forecast reflects both an increase in the planted area, which is estimated at 81.6 million hectares, as well as a recovery of the average crop yield, which was forecast at 4,023 kilos per hectare, Conab said in his sixth harvest update, which was published on March 13. When it is realized, Conab is said that this will be the heavy grain volume that is harvested in the history of the course series in the history of the course series.
Soybeans continue a robust season, with the conab production of 167.4 million tons increased by 13.3% from 2023 to 24. The harvest index is 60.9% of the area, higher than the same period last season before the five -year average.
“After a slower start to the harvest due to plants of delays and excessive rainfall in January, the reduction of precipitation in February led to a significant increase in the harvested area,” said Caonab.
The previous returns have exceeded the first expectations in important producing countries such as Mato Grosso, Goiás and Minas Gerais, said Conab. In Rio Grande Do Sul and Mato Grosso Do Sul, inconsistent rainfall has influenced the production potential of the harvest in almost the entire state.
After the soybean harvest is doing well, the planting of the second corn harvest has already reached 83.1% of the expected area, said Conab. While this is behind the pace of last year, it remains the five -year average. The planted area is expected to grow by 1.9% to 16.75 million hectares. Productivity is estimated at 5,703 kilos per hectare in favorable weather conditions.
As a result, production is projected alone in the second corn harvest to 95.5 million tons, which rose by 5.8% in 2023 to 24. The positive prospects for this harvest are expected to increase the entire corn production for Brazil to 122.8 million tons, an increase of 6.1% compared to the previous year.
Rice also recorded 6.5% in the planted area and reached 1.7 million hectares. Good weather conditions prefer harvesting, which enable 7.3% recovery in the average harvest productivity, which was estimated at 7,063 kilos per hectare.
If the current conditions last, the production estimate would reach 12.1 million tons. The crops are higher than in the same period of the previous harvest in almost all important states of production. Only Tocantine have a harvest quota that is slightly below the previous cycle.
The travel harvest on the market continues the prize trend paid to the manufacturer. In addition, the production drive estimated by Conab guarantees domestic supply and enables the delay stocks to recover with an expected increase in grain exports.
It is estimated that exports reach 2 million tons, and the transmission shares at the end of the harvest 2024-25 will get back to an estimated 1.4 million tons at the end of February 2026, said Conab.
