Fantasy Football Busts to design (2025)

In the following I will highlight several players who are currently overvalued in half PPR formats. The majority of these players are prepared for this due to inefficiency and/or a lack of stable volume. Of course, your respective prospects can change due to transactions in the coming months. For this reason, it remains of essential importance for managers to pursue the changes in the depth diagrams in the offseason. Here is a look at some early fantasy football -draft busts that you can avoid.

To avoid retraft players

The NFL new season is just beginning. The rest of the free agency and the upcoming NFL design will affect the volume distributions in the NFL. This will in turn have a drastic influence on how certain players are estimated from the point of view of fantasy football. We have already seen the shocking departures of stars like Davante Adams and Debo Samuel, and there are many other transactions before the season begins.

Nevertheless, it is never too early to prepare for the upcoming fantasy football season. While the opening start is still a few months away, managers can use this time to check the most important snack stalls of the past season. The variety of publicly available tools and advanced statistics is larger than ever. Experienced managers should use these resources to gain a decisive advantage over their colleagues.

Davante Adams (Wr – Lar)

Davante Adams is currently classified as a WR18, according to the latest expert consensus ranking from FantasyPros (ECR). He is ahead of DJ Moore, Zay Flowers and Marvin Harrison Jr., while moving to the Los Angeles Rams will certainly help the team's Super Bowl efforts, I have difficulty seeing the advantage of a fantasy football perspective. With the RAMs, the declining veteran recipient will not see the elite volume, which made him a consistent producer throughout his career.

Puka Nacua is No. 1 WR in Sean McVay's system. He put together an incredibly impressive second season and led all NFL width recipients in Pro Football Focus (PFF). In addition, he achieved astonishing 9.37 destinations per game. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has developed a relationship with the Young Wideout, and this connection will continue to become stronger in the coming years. Ultimately, Adams have to be satisfied with a smaller proportion of target when he was used to the entire decorated career.

Adams' declining efficiency metrics have thrown doubts as to whether he will be able to overcome this limited volume. His PFF grade has been its lowest since 2017 and its total amount has been the lowest since 2019. At the age of 32, it can be assumed that these trends will remain in the coming season.

Adams is a written off asset that inherits a secondary role behind Nacua in the crime of the Rams. While catching Stafford is certainly positive, the underlying metrics are not in favor of the experienced recipient. For this reason, I would avoid investing in Adams in his current average design position costs (ADP) in Adams.

George Pickens (WR – Grube)

The move of DK Metcalf to Pittsburgh Steelers is devastating for the fantasy value of George Pickens. Since the outcome in 2022, Pickens has been a highly fleeting WR3, whose lack of volume has held him back from being a consistent producer in fantasy. His ability to create explosive pieces has often compensated for the slow criminal offense with a slow pace load in Pittsburgh. With another star receiver in the fold, the chances in 2025 are really stacked against him.

Pickens ended in 2024 as WR42. This was despite the sole Passcatcher in Arthur Smith's offensive scheme. In addition, he had the advantage of working together with a respected veteran quarterback Russell Wilson. While Wilson has had difficulty repeating his success in early career lately, his deep ball remains the best of the NFL. According to PFF, he deserved a 95 -year -old grade down to 20 meters. This plays perfectly in Pickens' strengths as a field receiver of the field extensions. His career -average depth of the target (adot) of 14.4 yards per PFF shows this.

The quarterback situation in Pittsburgh remains ambiguous. They were associated with several veterans, including Aaron Rodgers and the Wilson mentioned above. You can also address the position in the upcoming draft. In any case, it is unlikely that picke will benefit from the quarterback upgrade -Fantasy managers from quarterback -upgrade.

The arrival of Metcalf indicates that picing in this crime will no longer have a strangling area for the high -quality goals. Metcalf is an ultra-efficient deep threat to himself, and PFF metrics indicate that he and picke work on a similar level of effective level. In 2024, both had an average of four meters after the catch per reception, while Pickens' contested fan rate (37%) was only slightly higher than that of Metcalf (36.6%). Her reception classes were also nearby, whereby Metcalf achieved a 75 class class and patch spread it slightly with a grade of 78.

Arthur Smith's tendency to emphasize the ongoing game and negatively influence the beneficiary's fantasy value was documented well. Pickens' volume-related battles are only deteriorated with another established reception option in this deep card. Pickens is not worth it to be collected from WR26 in its current fantasy football -adp.

Isiah Pacheco (RB – KC)

Isiah Pacheco quickly became a fantasy football after suffering a broken fibula in week 2 of the NFL season 2024. After returning from an injury, Pacheco never got the keys to the Backfield when Kareem Hunt continued to deal with a massive share of the band. The Augentest suggested that Pacheco simply did not have the same explosiveness and tackle breaking ability, which played a role in the previous iterations of Kansas City's crime. Unnecessary to mention that Pacheco's view remains very unclear when we go deeper into the low season.

From the point of view of efficiency, it was an incredibly disappointing year for Pacheco. The latter took 43rd place in the Rushing class, 49. In Yards after contact per experiment and 49. He was consistently trained by Hunt, who was signed as Free Agent after the first month of the NFL season. It is fair to ask whether Pacheco Andy Reid's trust as a working animal has lost in his system.

Isiah Pacheco is a great memory of two dynasty constants:

1- Tender on non-premium assets RBS if you address added value.

2- players do not always come back from injuries and play the same roles as they went. Crimes and roles develop.

– Theog Fantasyfootball (@theog Fantasy) February 10, 2025

Against this background, the chiefs in the off -season are very likely the running back position. Regardless of whether you acquire a free agent or design a return prospect, Pacheco will certainly be confronted with the competition in the training camp. In any case, Pacheco will no longer see the more than 20 touches per game that has made him a fantasy favorite in recent years.

The chiefs' crime did not do the same explosiveness and efficiency, which we usually associate with crimes conducted by Patrick Mahomes. In 2022, the Chiefs scored an average of 29.2 points per game. In the following two seasons they achieved an average of 22.2 and 23.1 points per game. The shift of the chiefs towards a slow approach “Dink and Dunk” coincided with a sharp decline in offensive production.

The team's blowout loss in the Super Bowl Lix can make you return to what works best on the offensive: to have Mahomes push the ball down. Of course, this would lead to a lower focus on the running game, and Pacheco's fantasy value would continue to decrease. His current expert consensus ranking as RB21 is simply too optimistic.